How to vet a Polymarket market's resolution risk before entering
Many losing trades are right about the event and wrong about the rules. Check how a market resolves before you size up.
Steps
- Expand the market's row in the screener and read its resolution score badge — it weighs ambiguous wording, discretionary criteria and source quality.
- Switch to the "Resolution risk" view to see the riskiest markets ranked, or filter the screener by risk band.
- Watch for UMA badges: "proposed" means a result is on-chain awaiting challenge; "disputed" means it's being fought — price now tracks the ruling, not the event.
- Read the market's full resolution rules via its Polymarket link before committing size.
Why this works
The score is computed from the market's own description and resolution source with a transparent rule-based model — the same scoring runs in the Telegram bot, so a "Resolution" alert can also warn you when a result gets proposed or disputed.
FAQ
Is a high risk score a reason to avoid a market?
Not necessarily — it's a reason to price the rules risk. Ambiguous markets often carry extra premium precisely because careful traders demand it.